Specialists revealed that flaws in computer modelling led to apocalyptic forecasts of how the deadly Ebola virus would spread in West Africa. Many of the models were off-the-shelf software that failed to take into account complexities and uncertainties in the way the disease spread in Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia, they said on Tuesday. "In the early days of the Ebola outbreak, a lot of people got into the forecasting business," said Aaron King of ...
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